BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Texas St-San Marcos

Class: 1A Class Rank: 118 Conference: Sun Belt Conference Record: (3-5) Overall: (4-8) Overall Strength =   65.92

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/04/2021 Home    L    83.99  20  29   1A  17 ( 10-  2) Baylor                 17.67    -26.67                      
  2 09/11/2021 Away    W    64.26  23  17   1A 129 (  1- 11) Florida Int'l          -2.06      8.06                      
  3 09/18/2021 Home    L    69.60  34  42   1B  17 ( 10-  2) Incarnate Word          3.28    -11.28                      
  4 09/25/2021 Away    L    41.20  21  59   1A  91 (  7-  5) Eastern Michigan      -25.12    -12.88                      
  5 10/09/2021 Home    W *  72.25  33  31   1A 104 (  5-  7) South Alabama           5.94     -3.94                      
  6 10/16/2021 Home    L *  67.39  28  31   1A 105 (  5-  7) Troy                    1.07     -4.07                      
  7 10/23/2021 Away    L *  68.14  16  28   1A  87 (  7-  5) Georgia St              1.82    -13.82                      
  8 10/30/2021 Away    L *  45.18   0  45   1A  54 ( 11-  1) Louisiana-Lafayette   -21.13    -23.87                      
  9 11/06/2021 Home    W *  73.01  27  19   1A 113 (  4-  8) Louisiana-Monroe        6.69      1.31                      
 10 11/13/2021 Home    L *  57.58  30  38   1A 114 (  3-  9) Georgia Southern       -8.74      0.74                      
 11 11/20/2021 Away    L *  78.12  21  35   1A  49 ( 10-  2) Coastal Carolina       11.81    -25.81                      
 12 11/27/2021 Away    W *  70.31  24  22   1A 120 (  2- 10) Arkansas St             3.99     -1.99                      
      Averages              65.92  23.1 33.0

Best game:   83.99 = 9 point loss to Baylor
Worst game:  41.20 = 38 point loss to Eastern Michigan
Team stdev:  12.50